Discover
How Big Things Get Done · Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner
Productivity · Free text

How Big Things Get Done

Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner

The Surprising Factors Behind Every Successful Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration

16 min
ListenRead

About the book

📖 “How Big Things Get Done - Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner” analyzes what makes projects successful and what factors lead to their failure. The authors draw on research into large-scale projects across a range of fields, from construction projects to ambitious scientific research, to reveal the key principles of effective planning and implementation. The book offers practical advice on identifying and managing risks, improving decision-making processes, and overcoming complications that can jeopardize projects. The goal is to help readers better understand what it takes to successfully tackle big challenges.

About the author

Bent Flyvbjerg is a renowned expert in project management and planning. He is a professor at Oxford University and the author of numerous books and scientific articles on megaprojects and their management. His research focuses on identifying the causes of large project failures and developing strategies for their successful completion. Co-author Dan Gardner is a journalist and author specializing in psychology and decision-making. Together, they provide readers with deep insights into the complexity of managing large projects.

Free text

Summary and key ideas

Book summary prepared by ReWio. Original book author: Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner.

Introduction

This book provides valuable insight into the secrets of success for large projects and provides useful tools for those who want to turn their ambitious plans into reality. Readers will learn the principles and strategies that distinguish successful megaprojects from those that fail. Drawing on specific examples of successful projects, the author offers advice and practices for effective planning, managing risks, and overcoming obstacles that can stand in the way of success. Whether it's a professional project, a personal goal, or a large-scale team project, this book shows you how to handle each step of the process effectively. It will enable you to understand how managers and leaders of successful projects work with priorities, how they handle unexpected situations, and how they manage to stay motivated to the end. With clear and practical recommendations, the book is suitable not only for project managers, but for anyone who wants to succeed in realizing their big goals. If you're determined to understand what's behind successful megaprojects, and to get practical tips for managing projects in the real world, this book will give you valuable tools to achieve your dreams effectively and confidently.

The inexorable law of megaprojects

The Relentless Law of Megaprojects argues that large and complex projects almost always go over budget, over schedule, or both. This phenomenon is backed up by statistics showing that only 8.5% of the 16,000 projects studied achieved their cost and time targets. One of the main reasons for this is the complexity of the systems on which megaprojects rely. Unforeseen events, changes in requirements and poor management contribute to delays and cost overruns. In addition, these projects often involve many stakeholders with different interests, leading to disagreements and delays in decision-making. Each party has its own priorities and objectives, which can lead to frequent conflicts and misunderstandings that slow down project progress. Even smaller projects, such as home renovations, are prone to similar problems due to their complexity. The example of a bathroom renovation, where the original plan and budget were significantly overrun, shows that even small projects can be affected by these risks. In today's interconnected world, most of our activities are part of complex systems, from energy production and distribution to information dissemination and communication. For large corporations and governments, financing budget overruns can be made easier by the ability to borrow money or raise taxes. Conversely, small businesses and individuals do not have this luxury and can be utterly devastated if they find themselves in this situation, meaning that extreme events are more common than we would expect. The case of the couple who, after buying a dilapidated house, ask the builder for an estimate of the cost of a complete renovation is a case in point. The builder quotes them a price tag of $260,000, but 18 months later, the couple has already spent $1.3 million and the project is far from complete. So why do megaprojects so often encounter cost overruns and time delays? The answer lies in their inherent complexity and uncertainty. The systems required to deliver large projects are prone to all kinds of failures and breakdowns. These projects require the coordination of a large number of resources, people and technologies, which increases the likelihood that something will go wrong. Therefore, it is important to take these risks seriously and consider them regardless of the size of the project. Successful management of megaprojects requires a realistic approach to planning, an understanding of the complexity of systems, and the ability to manage contingencies. With an awareness of these challenges, it is possible to better prepare for the implementation of large projects and increase the chances of their successful completion. One solution is careful planning and preparation for potential risks and complications. This includes realistic cost and time estimates, transparent communication with all stakeholders, and flexibility to adapt to changes and unforeseen events. In this way, risks can be minimised and the likelihood of successful project completion within the planned budget and time can be increased.

Investing time, money or effort in a failed project

The fallacy of commitment is a psychological phenomenon in which people continue to invest time, money, or effort in an unsuccessful project simply because they have already invested heavily in it. This phenomenon can lead to disastrous results because it leads to wasted resources and an inability to make realistic decisions. One of the most famous examples of the commitment fallacy is the California high-speed rail project. In 2008, voters approved a $9 billion measure to fund the construction of a high-speed rail line between San Francisco and Los Angeles. The original cost estimate was $33 billion and the completion date set for 2020. However, by 2019, the project was only 20% complete, with the projected cost rising to $80 billion and the completion date pushed back to 2033. One of the main reasons for this failure was that policymakers fell into a commitment fallacy. They committed to the project without fully understanding the challenges they would face. They overestimated public support for the project and underestimated the cost and complexity of building a high-speed rail line across California's diverse terrain. For example, one of the biggest challenges was acquiring the necessary land for the project. Landowners fought the project tooth and nail, which caused significant delays and increased costs. In addition, environmentalists have raised concerns about the rail line's potential impact on endangered species and other natural resources. Despite these problems, politicians continued to push for the project, insisting that it was necessary for the state's economic growth and environmental sustainability. They continued to allocate more and more resources to the project even as costs and delays mounted. This approach illustrates how misguided commitment can lead to inefficient use of resources and prolonged failed projects. So what can we learn from this experience? First and foremost, it is important to be realistic about the challenges you may face when starting a new project. Don't just make commitments and expect everything to work itself out. Instead, carefully consider the risks and challenges of each project before committing significant resources to it. Second, be transparent about the costs and risks of the project. Learn from the mistakes of California politicians - they were not honest with the public about the challenges they would face and the potential costs of their proposals. If they had done so, it would have helped them build public trust and support, despite significant obstacles. Finally, always remain flexible throughout the duration of your project. Sometimes even the best-laid plans go awry. When that happens, you'll need to be willing to adjust your plans and adapt to changing circumstances. This will help you avoid the fallacy of commitment and ensure that you can achieve your goals in the most efficient and effective way possible. Avoiding the commitment fallacy requires a clear vision and the ability to make tough decisions, even if it means admitting that the original plan isn't working. By doing so, you can use resources more efficiently, minimize waste, and increase the likelihood of successful project completion.

Reverse engineering

Reverse engineering, also known as right-to-left thinking, is an approach that involves working backwards from a desired outcome to determine the necessary steps to achieve it. This approach is in contrast to the more common left-to-right thinking, where you start with the current situation and work towards the goal. An example of a successful use of reverse engineering is the Guggenheim Museum in Bilbao, Spain. In the 1990s, the city of Bilbao was struggling economically, and the local government was looking for a way to revitalize the area. They came up with the idea of building a world-class museum that would attract tourists and bring in revenue. Instead of starting with a detailed plan for the museum itself, they started with a goal: economic growth through tourism. From there, they worked backwards and identified the steps needed to achieve this goal, including the right site, collaboration with a renowned institution like the Guggenheim, and investment in the infrastructure needed to support a major cultural attraction. The result was a museum that had both aesthetic and economic value. In just three years, the Guggenheim Bilbao generated nearly $1 billion in tourism revenue. This approach can be applied to a variety of projects. For example, if you want to start a business, start by envisioning what success looks like for your venture - this might include financial goals, a loyal customer base, or industry recognition. From there, you can work backwards to determine the steps needed to achieve your vision, such as market research, creating a business plan and assembling a team of talented individuals. The advantage of thinking from right to left is that it provides clear direction. When you start with the end goal and work backwards, you can better identify the necessary steps and decisions that will take you there. This approach also helps prevent you from getting bogged down in the details and losing sight of the big picture. When thinking from right to left, it's important to be realistic and ready to adapt. Plans can change and unforeseen events can affect progress. Flexibility and the ability to react quickly to change are key to success. Reverse engineering allows you to better manage these challenges because it forces you to think about all the possible steps and scenarios that may occur along the way to achieving your goal. Ultimately, reverse engineering is a powerful tool for anyone trying to achieve big goals, whether in business, personal life, or public projects. It helps you focus on the end result and effectively plan the steps that will get you there. If you start with a clear goal and work backwards, you increase your chances of success and reduce the risk of unforeseen setbacks.

Modularity like Lego

Modularity is an approach that breaks down a large project into smaller, manageable parts, allowing for incremental building and improvement. This approach reduces risk and increases efficiency by allowing individual modules to be iteratively refined. An example of modularity is a wedding cake. Even the most complex cake is composed of smaller cake layers that are layered up in a stepwise fashion. Bakers start with simple foundations, which they then stack on top of each other. With each successive cake iteration, they refine their skills, achieving a more perfect structure. This process of iterative learning leads to perfection, where each successive cake is better than the last. Elon Musk is a master of modularity. When he built Gigafactory 1, the world's largest factory, he didn't start with an entire building at once. He gradually built smaller factory units like "Lego bricks". First he built one unit, which he put into operation, then another, repeating the process until the entire Gigafactory was built. This modular approach allowed Tesla to begin battery production and make a profit within a year of starting construction. Musk uses the same principle for SpaceX projects. Modularity and repeatability in planning and delivery accelerate learning and improve performance. Musk's companies use this approach to minimize the risks of large projects and increase the chances of success. How can you apply modularity in your project? First, define your "Lego" - a small, repeatable component that you can refine regularly. It can be a line of code, a small part of a product, or another core element of the project. Then break the project down into smaller, manageable parts and refine each one before moving on. This approach allows you to experiment, fail fast, and learn from mistakes, leading to continuous improvement. One of the benefits of modularity is the ability to react quickly to change and adapt to new conditions. If something doesn't work, adjustments can be made without having to redesign the entire project. This approach is key in large and complex projects where any change can significantly affect the overall outcome. Finding your "Lego" and leveraging modularity will help you better manage projects of different sizes. By breaking down large tasks into smaller repeatable parts and continuously improving each step, you can achieve large goals efficiently and successfully. This approach reduces risks, increases flexibility and allows you to better manage project complexity.

Final summary

The inexorable law of megaprojects emphasizes that large projects almost always go over budget and over schedule due to their complexity and unpredictable changes. To avoid the fallacy of commitment, it is essential to maintain a realistic approach and the ability to adapt, which will avoid wasting resources on projects that prove unsustainable. Reverse engineering, or thinking from right to left, helps to establish a clear goal and effectively plan the steps that lead to its achievement. The principle of modularity allows large projects to be broken down into smaller, manageable parts, increasing flexibility and reducing risk, which helps to better manage their complexity and unpredictability. These principles are essential to the successful management and completion of large projects. Do you have feedback for us? We'd love it if you let us know your opinion on our content! Just send an email to feedback@rewio.app with the title of this book in the subject line and share your impressions!

Related books